Directional accuracy
74%
+21pp vs. consensus
Markets & assets
Equities, commodities, FX, crypto, fixed income, derivatives. Direction, volatility, regime shifts.
Horizon7–90 days
Signals
- Direction
- Volatility
- Regime change
Predictive intelligence · custom-built · for enterprisesPredictive intelligence,
Predictive intelligence,
engineered for your enterprise.
From commodity prices to supply-chain shocks, climate risk to societal signals — we engineer custom forecasting systems for the decisions your organization cannot afford to get wrong. One discovery. Ongoing intelligence. Yours alone.
Talk to us
enterprise@getlenz.ioReply within one business day.
Live signal boardSample forecasts · anonymised
Brent crude · 30d
30 days6h ago+2.4%78%MSCI EM equity · 90d
90 days12h ago−1.8%64%USD/JPY · 30d
30 days4h ago+1.1%71%Atlantic refinery margin · 14d
14 days9h ago±0.3%58%
Indicative outputs from production models. Client deployments are bespoke.
Built for organisations operating across
- Banking & Capital Markets
- Hedge Funds & Asset Management
- Sovereign Funds
- Energy & Commodities Trading
- Insurance & Reinsurance
- Logistics & Supply Chain
- Consumer Goods & Retail
- Industrial & Manufacturing
Track record
Numbers institutional desks ask for first.
Confidence to act. Evidence to defend the call in the next investment committee. Indicative figures from production models, measured against published consensus and a naive random-walk baseline. Audit records available under NDA.
73.2%
Directional accuracy
Rolling 12-month, blended
+18.4pp
Lift vs. consensus
Percentage points over baseline
12,847
Forecasts shipped
Production models, 2024–2026
<6h
Refresh cadence
From signal to client surface
Directional accuracy · rolling 12-month
Lenz modelConsensus benchmark
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
68
71
70
74
72
75
73
76
Q1·24Q2·24Q3·24Q4·24Q1·25Q2·25Q3·25Q4·25
Rolling twelve-month, blended across forecasting domains. Benchmarks: consensus forecasts where available; otherwise random-walk baseline. Independent methodology available on request.
What we forecast
Every signal that moves your business.
Five forecasting domains. Combined, integrated, tuned to your decisions — not delivered as a one-size-fits-all data feed.
Directional accuracy
71%
+15pp vs. consensus
Macroeconomics
Growth, inflation, employment, monetary cycles, sovereign risk.
Horizon90–365 days
Signals
- Inflation
- Rates
- Sovereign risk
Directional accuracy
72%
+19pp vs. consensus
Supply chain & industry
Logistics disruption, input prices, capacity, demand cycles, sector rotation.
Horizon14–120 days
Signals
- Disruption
- Demand cycle
- Sector rotation
Directional accuracy
68%
+14pp vs. consensus
Society & sentiment
Public opinion, social-media velocity, demographic shifts, consumer behaviour.
Horizon7–60 days
Signals
- Public opinion
- Demographics
- Consumer behaviour
Directional accuracy
70%
+16pp vs. consensus
Climate & energy
Weather shocks, energy prices, transition timing, resource constraints.
Horizon30–365 days
Signals
- Weather risk
- Energy price
- Transition timing
Anatomy of a forecast
What you ship to a portfolio manager.
Every forecast travels with the evidence behind it. Open the box. Follow the logic. Defend the call in the next investment committee.
Forecast · Live
Brent crude · 30-day directional forecast
- Asset
- Brent crude (BZ=F) · USD/bbl
- Horizon
- 30 calendar days
- Call
- Higher · +2.4% expected drift
- Expected range (P25–P75)
- $81.20 – $86.40
Contributing signals
- Weight: 32%
OPEC+ production discipline
- Weight: 21%
Refinery utilisation (Atlantic basin)
- Weight: 18%
Speculative net length (CFTC)
- Weight: 14%
USD index trajectory
- Weight: 15%
Strategic petroleum reserve dynamics
Dissenting signals
Macro angle (rates pressure)
Last refreshed:Every 6 hours · API + Slack
Indicative output. Production forecasts are tuned to client portfolio mandate and decision cadence.Versus the alternatives
What a Bloomberg terminal won't do for you.
Terminals deliver data. Consultancies deliver a static report. An in-house quant team delivers, eventually. We deliver a living forecasting system on a bespoke timeline.
| Lenz Enterprise | Data terminal | Top-tier consultancy | In-house quant team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Custom-built to your decisions | Yes | — | Partial | Yes |
| Live, continuously refreshed | Yes | Yes | — | Partial |
| Auditable evidence per call | Yes | — | Partial | Partial |
| Delivery timeline scoped to engagement | Yes | Yes | Partial | — |
| You own the model & IP | Yes | — | — | Yes |
| Evidence-gated forecasting engine | Yes | — | — | Partial |
| On-prem / air-gapped option | Yes | — | — | Yes |
| Bespoke pricing, not seat-based | Yes | — | Yes | Yes |
Custom-built to your decisions
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
Live, continuously refreshed
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
Auditable evidence per call
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
Delivery timeline scoped to engagement
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
You own the model & IP
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
Evidence-gated forecasting engine
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
On-prem / air-gapped option
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
Bespoke pricing, not seat-based
- Lenz Enterprise
- Data terminal
- Top-tier consultancy
- In-house quant team
YesPartialNo
Comparison reflects the typical engagement profile of each alternative. Individual deployments vary.
How we engage
From decision to deployment,
in four steps.
Discovery to live intelligence on a bespoke timeline. Built once, with you. Refined continuously, with your team.
Step 01
Discovery
A focused listening session with your strategy team. We listen for the decisions that matter and the signals that shape them. You leave with a draft scope and a path forward.
Draft scope · No commitmentDeliverables
- Decision-mapping workshop
- Draft signal taxonomy
- Scope memo + indicative quote
Step 02
Custom build
We design a forecasting system tuned to your domain, your geographies, your decision cadence. Built once, with you. Timeline scoped to engagement complexity in discovery.
Live system · scoped timelineDeliverables
- Signal-stack architecture
- Backtested model release
- Calibration against client KPIs
Step 03
Integration
API, SSO, white-labelled dashboard, alerts via Slack, Teams, or email — or all of the above. Your engineers ship intelligence to where decisions are made.
Deployed in your stackDeliverables
- REST + Webhook endpoints
- SSO + audit logging
- Slack / Teams / email channels
Step 04
Continuous intelligence
The system continuously retrains and refines, and your team reviews. Quarterly business reviews. Direct line to your engagement desk. Auditable end-to-end.
Quarterly reviews · Direct deskDeliverables
- Drift monitoring + retraining
- Quarterly business review
- Named point-of-contact
How it's engineered
Forecasts you can trust enough to act on.
Convergent reasoning, audit-grade transparency, enterprise security. Every prediction comes with the evidence behind it.
Evidence-gated consensus
Multiple analytical perspectives per domain, resolved by evidence. A forecast ships only when the perspectives converge.
Spec
Evidence-gated by design
Auditable reasoning
Every prediction carries its chain of evidence. Open the box, follow the logic, defend the call.
Spec
Per-forecast evidence chain · exportable
Backtested rigor
Validated on historical windows. Drift-monitored live. Confidence intervals you can stake a P&L on.
Spec
10-year backtest · live drift monitor
Custom signal stack
Your data, your sources, fused with ours. The system learns your domain — not a generic one.
Spec
Client data + 200+ public sources
Enterprise security
SOC 2 Type II ready, ISO 27001 ready. Data residency, mutual NDA, custom contracts from day one.
Spec
SOC 2 · ISO 27001 · mutual NDA
On-prem option
For sovereign, regulated, or air-gapped deployments. The model runs where your data lives.
Spec
VPC · on-prem · air-gapped
Buyer questions, answered
The questions enterprise buyers ask first.
Straight answers — no spin, no fine print.
What kinds of predictions do you actually build?
Anything where the future has shape — markets, supply chain, society, climate, energy. If the decision is high-stakes and the signal exists, we engineer the model. We don't predict elections or lottery numbers; we forecast probability distributions for the decisions your organisation needs to make.
How long until we see results?
Discovery is a focused listening phase with your strategy team. The custom build is scoped to your engagement — we size the timeline against decision cadence and integration complexity during discovery. After integration, predictions start arriving on day one — and the model improves continuously thereafter.
How is this different from a Bloomberg terminal or a McKinsey report?
Terminals deliver data. Consultancies deliver a static report. We deliver a living forecasting system — tuned to your specific decisions, refreshed continuously, integrated into your stack. One asset, not a stack of disconnected outputs.
What about data privacy and intellectual property?
Your data stays yours. Your forecasts stay yours. Standard mutual NDA on day one, custom contracts on request. SOC 2 Type II, ISO 27001, and data-residency options are available.
Who owns the model?
You do. The custom-built model is your asset. We maintain it under an SLA; you keep the intellectual property — and the option to operate it on-premises.
What does an engagement cost?
Pricing is bespoke, tied to scope, decision cadence, and integration complexity. Most engagements start in the low six figures (USD) per year. Discovery is free.
Start with a discovery session
Your next strategic decision shouldn't be a guess.
Write to us with the decisions you want to forecast. We listen first, propose second. Discovery is free.